The business stories that matter, by Fortune's Colin Barr
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May 9, 2008, 7:55 am

Ed Lampert fund sinks 27%

More bad news for hedge fund manager Ed Lampert. His ESL Investments was down 27% last year, Bloomberg reports, citing investors, and declined an additional 1.3% in the first quarter of this year. Lampert’s fund has been hit hard by his big bet on Sears Holdings (SHLD), the struggling retailer whose shares are off 48% over the past year. Lampert also hurt his own cause last year by making an ill-timed bet on Citi (C) just before the collapse of the mortgage market last summer.

But Bloomberg notes that Lampert is far from alone in feeling the pain of hefty bets gone wrong: Other managers of concentrated hedge funds - ones that plow lots of money into a limited number of stocks - are getting hit harder, with former UBS (UBS) trader Jon Wood’s SRM Global fund down 70% through March 31. SRM’s big misses include troubled mortgage lenders Northern Rock of the United Kingdom and Countrywide (CFC).

Sears is toast. In a down economy, the good retailers pick up market share and the poor ones lose. Guess which category Sears fall in? Further, the demand for retail real estate is close to zero now, so the Sears real estate play is off the table. In a year the current stocck price will seem like a dream. This stock has a long way to fall.

Posted By Robert Antall, Cleveland, Ohio : May 12, 2008 11:13 am

Eddie is a man about the money. The downfall thus far is his lack of knowledge in the retail environment. The leadership within Sears lacks the same. The first rule of management would have been surrounding oneself with people to compliment the areas were you lack knowledge. The senior leadership comes from very diverse background, non of which is retail. Eddie is running Sears for the equity and not the growth potential of a retail entity. To steal a comment from a previous article…. All Eddie is doing is rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. He has not left his footprint of positive change within this business. It all comes back to the lack of leadership and vision.

Posted By Rich, Ohio : May 11, 2008 8:39 am

I’m not sure I understand your comment. However, I agree with you Wall St. is short sighted. Guys who’ve been making money hand over fist for decades are currently long Sears for good reason. It’s dramatically undervalued on almost any basis except for a 12month one, which is a crap shoot at best. Who is long Sears: Lampert, Ackman, Pabrai, Berkowitz, Bill Miller, Whitney Tilson, Michael Price, and the list goes on. Not bad company to be keeping for common shareholders. Sears is probably a $400/share stock within 5 years.

Posted By Justin, Burlington, Vermont : May 10, 2008 7:40 pm

In bull markets everyone is the “next Warren Buffett.” Only when the stuff hits the fan do we realize who the great investors are. A young Buffett would never have invested in Citi before the mortgage meltdown. Comparing SHLD to BRK was an absolutely absurd observation made by more than one business personality. The two core businesses are inherently different; and we have learned that SHLD requires much more capital than Lampert and company projected. Lampert supporters, namely Jim Cramer, have put Eddie and SHLD atop a pedestal. SHLD’s stock price has fallen back to earth with Lampert soon to follow.

Posted By ed, raleigh, nc : May 9, 2008 9:26 pm

I will never get over the short-sightedness of Wall Street. One year ago it was not financially reasonable for Sears to have been over $120 per share. Except, that Wall Street expected out of Lampert great retail expertise, which displayed up to that time. It didn’t hurt either that Lampert was out burning cash as he bought up over-priced shares of Sears. All that having been said, Sears did not really fall from its public high point, but from an actual value point much lower than Wall Street saw, say $120. Thus, the percentage decline for Sears over the past year is overstated in terms of significance.

Posted By Grayfox, Livermore, CA : May 9, 2008 4:25 pm
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Colin Barr covers business and finance for Fortune.com. Previously he was an editor at TheStreet.com and author of the weekly Five Dumbest Things on Wall Street column, and an editor at Dow Jones Newswires.
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