Losses weigh on MBIA
Bond insurer MBIA (MBI) posted a steep fourth-quarter loss that will only intensify questions about its chances of fending off a ratings agency downgrade. The Armonk, N.Y., company lost $2.3 billion, or $18.61 a share, for the quarter ended Dec. 31, reversing the year-ago profit of $181 million, or $1.32 a share. MBIA did say it closed a $500 million stock sale to private equity firm Warburg Pincus, and that it is considering its alternatives for raising additional equity, including a $500 million rights offering Warburg has agreed to backstop. Given rising losses tied to the crumbling value of mortgage-related securities, it’s likely the company will have to raise more money soon to hold onto its triple-A ratings from Moody’s and S&P. Complicating those efforts, though, is a push by hedge fund investor Bill Ackman, who is short MBIA, to raise questions about the accounting practices and financial prospects of MBIA and rival Ambac (ABK). Elsewhere, S&P is forecasting banking industry losses of $265 billion on mortgage securities and collateralized debt obligations - very much the sorts of holdings that have investors worried about Ambac and MBIA. Those sorts of observations are part of what pushed both stocks to double-digit percentage losses Wednesday - and why Thursday may well bring more of the same.
At Google Answers, there’s a good discussion of finding out information and stats on bond trading:
Worth a look!
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On January 18th 2008 Bill Ackman wrote a letter to Moody’s and the S&P regarding the monolines. Here is point #8 of Bill Ackman’s Letter to Rating Agencies Regarding Bond Insurers:
I encourage you to ask yourself the following question while looking at your image in the mirror:
Does a company deserve your highest Triple A rating whose stock price has declined 90%, has cut its dividend, is scrambling to raise capital, completed a partial financing at 14% interest (now trading at a 20% yield one week later), has incurred losses massively in excess of its promised zero-loss expectations wiping out more than half of book value, with Berkshire Hathaway as a new competitor, having lost access to its only liquidity facility, and having concealed material information from the marketplace?
Can this possibly make sense?
http://downgradetheinsurers.wordpress.com