The business stories that matter, by Fortune's Colin Barr
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January 15, 2008, 7:38 am

Greenspan’s masterful timing

Alan Greenspan keeps on cashing in. The former Fed chief is joining hedge fund Paulson & Co. as an adviser. The move, which comes on the same day that Merrill Lynch (MER) and Citi (C) raise some $21 billion in new capital to offset losses tied to the collapse of the housing bubble, puts Greenspan on the advisory board of the firm that has been among the biggest winners in betting against subprime mortgage-related securities. Greenspan, who has also been busy promoting his book, already advises bond shop Pimco and Germany’s Deutsche Bank, The Wall Street Journal points out.

At Naked Capitalism, Yves Smith is not impressed, comparing Greenspan - who is blamed by some for allowing the credit bubble to inflate through unusually low interest rates - to the man who brought you Watergate. Unfavorably, to boot. “It’s one thing for Greenspan to sell books and give speeches to try to salvage his reputation,” Smith writes. “Nixon did that too, with more success and less profit. It is quite another for him to benefit in a far more direct fashion from the devastation he created, by hooking up with the fund that scored the biggest kill from the worst aspects of the negative real interest rates that Greenspan put into effect.”

Unsurprisingly, Paulson & Co. founder John Paulson believes the Greenspan-bashing is overdone. “It’s easy to look back and do Monday-morning quarterbacking,” he tells the Journal. But Greenspan’s comments in an interview with the Journal won’t quiet those who view him as an apologist for the fast-mortgage crowd. His 2004 remarks in support of adjustable-rate mortgages, the newfangled loans that helped to fuel the runup of housing prices earlier this decade and now threaten a rash of foreclosures, still wrankle in some quarters. Four years later, even the Maestro is having second thoughts. “It turns out … that housing and housing prices are a critical factor in the determination of market values,” Greenspan says now. Who knew.

how can Greenspan be talking about how we are on the edge of recession until the housing market gets better.
It was on his watch that the housing bubble happened. How can he not bear some of the blame for the current economic problems.

Posted By chris newbury park : February 15, 2008 12:10 am

there is a real danger in letting former government officials to work for private companies. did anybody see “sicko”?

former congressmen working for healthcare companies after their terms. where it seems policies were made to benefit healthcare companies they now work for.

could Greenspan have done the same?

Posted By Anonymous : January 23, 2008 1:53 pm

Basically the problem is two fold:

1) Availability of cheap money ;
2) Homebuilders desire to build more.

With the availability of cheap financing, people made the decision (not Greenspan) to take out those mortgages. The homebuilders just kept building them and building them. Their spec homes rose to alltime levels, and now that the customers (the ones who used that cheap money and the sub-prime market) have dried up, inventories are at a peak and no sales are in sight.

Greenspan in both cases is not to blame. Its the lenders who pushed that sub-prime product out , and profited from it because of lax(loose) lending criteria. The builders did what they normally do - build more.

I can’t see why someone would think that Greenspan is the person who contributed to this as people, not one sole individual, make choices that affect markets.

Posted By George.Canada : January 21, 2008 9:40 pm

What kind of idiots would blame Greenspan - or interest rates - for a problem caused by greed and the institutionalized corruption of the mega-CEOs making outrageous bets with other people’s money?

Posted By John Kantor, St. Petersburg, FL : January 16, 2008 1:26 am

I agree that Greenspan cannot be solely responsible for the home loan fiasco. And, I really haven’t read enough to even know who sets the limits in this arena.

However, I do know that American business has become more and more shortsighted (response to globalization?) in its efforts to make a buck. How could the people with large stakes in the market, such as Citigroup, and the Bush Administration/Congress, not be able to see that these conditions were likely to sink millions of consumers? Wither the consumer goes, the economy must follow, right? And don’t cry class divisiveness–that street runs both ways. Who was the “we” willing to shear the “them” buying these mortgages? Instead, all of US are on the rails toward a likely recession.

http://www.rationalpsychic.wordpress.com

Posted By rationalpsychic : January 16, 2008 1:04 am

Greenspan is the initiator of cheap, short-term solutions to keep economic growth going - now we’re paying for it. The only solution is competitiveness and productivity, not quick hit, “easy outs”

http://americancompetitive.blogspot.com/

Posted By fredericktaylor : January 15, 2008 11:35 pm

Greenspan caused the real estate bubble and the Internet bubble and has been nothing short of a disaster. Of course Paulson downplays Greenspan as the cause of the disaster. He has hired him. Some people will do anything to make money.

If you want to read what is really going on check out “America’s Financial Apocalypse: How to Profit from the Next Great Depression.” It already predicted that the real estate meltdown would damage the banks.

Posted By John Dawson Plano, TX : January 15, 2008 11:09 pm

It is always the president’s fault or the Fed or Greenspan this time. The borrower and lender need to do a better job of foreseeing their future payments in years ahead especially with ARM lending. Then there’s the big payment of county taxes due every January. If those school, city and county taxes are not escrowed into the monthly mortgage payment, it creates an unpleasant, overwhelming and financially devastating surprise right after Christmas spending.

Posted By George Brodrick, Dallas, TX : January 15, 2008 7:27 pm

Everyone should read Ravi Batra’s book Greenspan Fraud. The book was published prior to the end of the nineties and spelled out the antics of Greenspan through out his career.

Posted By Derek Messenger,Davis,Ca. : January 15, 2008 7:19 pm

Alan Greenspan did nothing but implement what he believed to be effective monetary policy during his tenure. Not to mention that every move he made was the result of a majority vote of all the Federal Reserve directors - nothing he implemented was unilateral action. And institutions ignored the fundamental risks associated with the “bundles” of loans that they purchased - and they paid the price. Blame it on one man? Hardly.

Posted By Kevin Carlson, Philadelphia, PA : January 15, 2008 7:15 pm

It’s a sad commentary on our times that we bestow so much trust on individuals like Mr. Greenspan to steer us right and they get it so wrong. Wouldn’t it be great if he would just admit “Look - I got it wrong. I’m sorry.”

Posted By Jim Vogl, Warren, Michigan : January 15, 2008 6:22 pm

So Greenspan held a gun to all those people’s heads and told them to sign up for stupid loans? People are not accountable for their own actions? If I sign up for a loan and it’s a bad deal, that is Greenspan’s problem? Wow America, not impressed. Don’t believe everything you read, but DO read your loan docs.

Posted By Charles Runderson, Salem, Oregon : January 15, 2008 6:09 pm

Greenspan is a fool, and an old fool at that. Amazing that anybody would hire him.

Posted By Tim, Bismarck : January 15, 2008 4:59 pm

WOW !!!
Very clever! Betting against his own approach on the subprime….and getting $$$
Bravo Maestro! You should be proud of
yourself.
HE should be investigated.

Posted By Luis De la Garza, Chula Vista CA : January 15, 2008 9:53 am

A short while ago Greenspan stated he “Did not get” the sub prime mortgage meltdown.I guess he gets it now,when he can see a vast personal profit in the debacle.Yes just like Goldman Sachs,for some,majority misery will always be a profit opportunity

Posted By keith pirelli, rio de janeiro, Brazil : January 15, 2008 9:32 am
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Colin Barr covers business and finance for Fortune.com. Previously he was an editor at TheStreet.com and author of the weekly Five Dumbest Things on Wall Street column, and an editor at Dow Jones Newswires.
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